On Distributions and Moments of Single-equation Estimators in a Set of Simultaneous Linear Stochastic Equations cover

Author

Roberto S. Mariano

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On Distributions and Moments of Single-equation Estimators in a Set of Simultaneous Linear Stochastic Equations

by Roberto S. Mariano

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Publisher

Stanford University

Published

1969

Pages

172

Language

EN

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On Distributions and Moments of Single-equation Estimators in a Set of Simultaneous Linear Stochastic Equations cover

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More by Roberto S. Mariano

Econometric Forecasting and High-frequency Data Analysis cover
Business & Economics2008

Econometric Forecasting and High-frequency Data Analysis

Roberto S. Mariano, Yiu Kuen Tse

This important book consists of surveys of high-frequency financial data analysis and econometric forecasting, written by pioneers in these areas including Nobel laureate Lawrence Klein. Some of the chapters were presented as tutorials to an audience in the Econometric Forecasting and High-Frequency Data Analysis Workshop at the Institute for Mathematical Science, National University of Singapore in May 2006. They will be of interest to researchers working in macroeconometrics as well as financial econometrics. Moreover, readers will find these chapters useful as a guide to the literature as well as suggestions for future research. Sample Chapter(s). Foreword (32 KB). Chapter 1: Forecast Uncertainty, Its Representation and Evaluation* (97 KB). Contents: Forecasting Uncertainty, Its Representation and Evaluation (K F Wallis); The University of Pennsylvania Models for High-Frequency Macroeconomic Modeling (L R Klein & S Ozmucur); Forecasting Seasonal Time Series (P H Franses); Car and Affine Processes (C Gourieroux); Multivariate Time Series Analysis and Forecasting (M Deistler). Readership: Professionals and researchers in econometric forecasting and financial data analysis.

Testing Under Non-standard Conditions in Frequency Domain cover
Business cycles1997

Testing Under Non-standard Conditions in Frequency Domain

With Applications to Markov Regime Switching Models of Exchange Rates and the Federal Funds Rate

Fangxiong Gong, Roberto S. Mariano

"We propose two test statistics in the frequency domain and derive their exact asymptotic null distributions under the condition of unidentified nuisance parameters. The proposed methods are particularly applicable in unobserved components models. Also, it is shown that the tests have considerable power when applied to a class of Markov regime switching models. We show that, after transforming the Markov regime switching model into the frequency domain representation we only have to face the issue of unidentified nuisance parameters in a nonlinear context. The singularity problem disappears. Compared to Hansen's (1992, 1996) LR-bound test of the same Markov regime switching model, our LM test performs better in terms of finite sample power, except in the special case of the Markov switching model in which the model becomes a Normal mixture model. Our test needs only a one-dimensional grid search while Hansen's (1992, 1996) test requires a three-dimensional grid search. The LM test is applied to Markov regime switching models of exchange rates and the Federal Funds rate. We used the same exchange rates data in Engel and Hamilton (1990). The null of random walk is not rejected in the exchange rates model. The null is rejected for the Federal Funds rate in subsample periods 1955:1-1979:9 and 1982:10-1995:11"--Abstract

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Book details

Publisher: Stanford University

Published: 1969

Pages: 172

Language: EN

Preview: Preview available

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